Northwest’s latest R number as Covid ‘shrinks’ in region

Transmission of the coronavirus continues to decline in the North West despite the R number for England increasing slightly.

According to the latest data from the Government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) released today (Friday, November 11), the R number for the Northwest remains between 0.7 and 0.9. It was also this last week.

This means that for every 10 cases of Covid-19, between seven and nine new cases are created.

“If R is less than 1, the epidemic is shrinking,” says Sage.

“The higher the R value above 1, the more people an infected person infects, and therefore the faster the epidemic grows.”

And the growth rate for the Northwest is more between -2% and -4%; a slight change from seven days ago, when it was between -3% and -5%. This means that it is not shrinking as fast as before.

The R number for the UK has increased slightly from between 0.8 and 1 to between 0.9 and 1.

Sage now cautions that not everywhere in the country does it have a rate below 1, with a rate between 0.9 and 1.1 in East England, London and the South East.

Sage says: “The UK estimates of R and the growth rate are averages for very different epidemiological situations and should be seen as a guide to the general trend rather than a description of the status of the epidemic. Given the increasing focus localized to handle the epidemic, particularly across nations, UK-level estimates are less significant than before. “

Regional R numbers

  • England – 0.8-1.0
  • East of England – 0.9-1.1
  • London – 0.9-1.1
  • Midlands – 0.8-1.0
  • Northeast and Yorkshire – 0.7-0.9
  • Northwest – 0.7-0.9
  • Southeast – 0.9-1.1
  • Southwest – 0.8-1.0

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